April
13, 2002
The Bush
Doctrine, R.I.P.
By FRANK RICH
s
a statement of principle set forth by an American chief executive, the
now defunct Bush Doctrine may have had a shelf life even shorter than
Kenny Boy's
Enron code of ethics. As a
statement of presidential intent, it may land in the history books
alongside such magisterial moments as Lyndon Johnson's 1964 pledge not
to send American boys to Vietnam and Richard Nixon's 1968 promise to
"bring us together."
It was in September that the president told Congress that "from this
day forward any nation that continues to harbor or support terrorism
will be regarded by the United States as a hostile regime." It was in
November that he told the United Nations that "there is no such thing as
a good terrorist." Now the president is being assailed even within his
own political camp for not only refusing to label Yasir Arafat a
terrorist but judging him good enough to be a potential partner in our
desperate effort to tamp down the flames of the Middle East.
Yet the administration's double standard for Mr. Arafat is hardly the
first, or only, breach of the Bush Doctrine.
As Tina Fey explained with only faint comic exaggeration on "Saturday
Night Live" last weekend, the U.S. also does business of state with
nations that both "fund all the terrorism in the world" (Saudi Arabia,
where the royal family on Thursday joined in a telethon supporting
Palestinian "martyrs") and are "100 percent with the terrorists except
for one little guy in charge" (Pakistan). President Bush, who once spoke
of rigid lines drawn between "good" men and "evildoers," has now been so
overrun by fresh hellish events and situational geopolitical bargaining
that his old formulations "either you are with us or you are with the
terrorists" have been rendered meaningless.
But even as he fudges his good/evil categorizations when it comes to
Mr. Arafat and other players he suddenly may need in the Middle East,
it's not clear that Mr. Bush knows that he can no longer look at the
world as if it were Major League Baseball, with every team clearly
delineated in its particular division. "Look, my job isn't to try to
nuance," he told a British interviewer a week after the Passover
massacre in Netanya. "My job is to tell people what I think. . . . I
think moral clarity is important."
Mr. Bush doesn't seem to realize that nuances are what his own
administration is belatedly trying to master and must if Colin
Powell is going to hasten a cease-fire in the Middle East. Mr. Bush
doesn't seem to know that since the routing of the Taliban his moral
clarity has atrophied into simplistic, often hypocritical sloganeering.
He has let his infatuation with his own rectitude metastasize into
hubris.
The result the catastrophe of the administration's handling of the
Middle East is clear: 15 months of procrastination and conflict
avoidance followed by a baffling barrage of mixed messages that have
made Mr. Bush's use of the phrase "without delay" the most elastically
parsed presidential words since his predecessor's definition of sex. It
takes some kind of perverse genius to simultaneously earn the defiance
of the Israelis, the Palestinians and our Arab "allies" alike and turn
the United States into an impotent bystander.
The ensuing mess should be a wake-up call for Mr. Bush to examine his
own failings and those of his administration rather than try (as he did
a week ago) to shift the blame to Bill Clinton's failed Camp David
summit (and then backpedal after being called on it). While the
conventional wisdom has always had it that this president can be bailed
out of foreign-policy jams by his seasoned brain trust, the competing
axes of power in the left (State) and right (Defense) halves of that
surrogate brain have instead sent him bouncing between conflicting
policies like a yo-yo, sometimes within the same day.
Speaking to The Los Angeles Times this week about Mr. Bush's
floundering, the Reagan administration policy honcho for the Mideast,
Geoffrey Kemp, said: "A two-year-old could have seen this crisis coming.
And the idea that it could be brushed under the carpet as the
administration focused on either Afghanistan or Iraq reflects either
appalling arrogance or ignorance."
The administration of Cheney, Rumsfeld and Powell is hardly ignorant.
But arrogance is another matter. "We shouldn't think of American
involvement for the sake of American involvement" is how Condoleezza
Rice defined the administration's intention to butt out of the Middle
East only a couple of weeks after her boss's inauguration, thereby
codifying the early Bush decision not to send a negotiator to a
last-ditch peace summit in Egypt. Since then, even as Sept. 11 came and
went, we've been at best reluctantly and passingly engaged, culminating
with our recall of the envoy Anthony Zinni in December, after which we
sat idly by during three months of horror. Not until Dick Cheney
returned from his humiliating tour of the Arab world in late March did
he state the obvious: "There isn't anybody but us" to bring about a
hiatus in the worst war the region has seen in 20 years.
Even then, the 180-degree reversal from the administration's previous
inertia was not motivated by the bloody imperatives of the conflict
between the Israelis and the Palestinians but by their inconvenient
disruption of Mr. Bush's plans to finish his father's job in Iraq. A
cynic might go so far as to say that "Saddam Hussein is driving U.S.
foreign policy" which, as it happens, is what Benjamin Netanyahu did
tell The New York Post on Tuesday.
The goal of stopping Saddam, worthy as it is, cannot be separated
from the conflict of the Jews and the Palestinians and never could be.
But even now Mr. Bush seems less than engaged in the Middle East. It
took him a week after the Passover massacre to decide to send Colin
Powell to the region. The president has yet to speak publicly about the
spillover of the hostilities into Europe, where each day brings news of
some of the ugliest anti-Semitic violence seen there since World War II.
He continues to resist the idea that American peacekeepers will be
needed to keep the Middle East (not to mention Afghanistan) from
tumbling back into the chaos that could once again upend his plans to
take on Saddam.
Peacekeepers, of course, are to Mr. Bush a synonym for
nation-building, which he regards as a no-no. If there's a consistent
pattern to the administration's arrogance, it's that when the president
has an ide fixe of almost any sort on any subject from the Bush
Doctrine on down it remains fixed in perpetuity, not open to question,
even as a world as complex and fast-changing as ours calls out for
rethinking.
Never mind that Sept. 11 was the most graphic demonstration
imaginable that a missile shield may not be the most useful vessel for
our ever more precious defense dollars; it's still full speed ahead. Nor
has the burst of the stock-market bubble dampened Mr. Bush's conviction
that Americans should entrust their Social Security savings to his
campaign contributors from Wall Street's investment houses. Drilling in
the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, once pitched as a quick fix to the
(fleeting) California energy crisis, is now being sold as an antidote to
our Middle Eastern woes (because some 10 years from now it may reduce
our oil imports by 4 or 5 percent). The Bush tax cut, conceived at a
time of endless surpluses and peace, is still touted as the perfect
economic plan even now that the surpluses are shot and we are at war. In
this administration, one size idea, however slender or dubious, fits
all.
To Mr. Bush, these immutable policies are no doubt all doctrines,
principles, testaments to his moral clarity. In fact, many of them have
more to do with ideology than morality. Only history can determine
whether they will be any more lasting than the Bush doctrine on
terrorism. Meanwhile, we should be grateful that the administration did
abandon its stubborn 15-month disengagement from the Middle East to make
an effort, however confused, hasty and perilous, to halt the bloodshed
and (one imagines) lead the search for a political solution.
"This is a world with a lot of gray," said Chuck Hagel, the
Republican from Nebraska, to The
Washington Post late this week. "We
can choose either to live in an abstract world or choose to engage in
the real world. . . . The reality of that has started to set in with
this administration." We must hope that Senator Hagel is right. While it
is far too late for an Arafat or a Sharon to change, it is not too late
for a young president still in a young administration to get over
himself. At this tragic juncture, the world depends on it, because, as
his own vice president put it, there isn't anybody else to do the job.
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